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Bitcoin’s Lightning Network To Process 364 Trillion Transactions per Year, According to Arcane Research – Here’s the Timeline

Crypto intelligence platform Arcane Research is predicting that Bitcoin’s Lightning Network will undergo an exponential progress en route to processing trillions of transactions per yr.

In a complete examine, Arcane Research says that the Lightning Network will set a foothold in three key industries as the protocol provides an a variety of benefits over present cost techniques.

“Not solely will the Lightning Network make funds cheaper and extra personal however make each customers and companies much less depending on third events. The determine under offers us a tough overview of potential industries that the Lightning Network can penetrate. We don’t know the place the adoption will occur first, however the potential is gigantic.”

Source: Arcane Research

The Lightning Network is a layer-2 answer constructed on high of blockchains reminiscent of Bitcoin to course of micropayments at near-instantaneous pace.

Looking at the gaming business, Arcane conservatively estimates that round 1.1 billion of the 3 billion customers pay for gaming providers. The analysis provides that there could also be appreciable overlaps between customers of the three providers, main to the assumption that the 1.1 billion paying players are additionally spending on audio and video streaming providers.

Based on these figures, Arcane Research predicts that a whole bunch of tens of millions of individuals will migrate to the Lightning Network in the coming years to pay for video games and to entry audio and video streaming providers.

“The ensuing variety of customers on the Lightning Network will due to this fact be between 25% and 100% of the 1.1 billion customers. We hold it easy and land someplace in the center, indicating about 700 million customers paying for gaming, video and audio by way of the Lightning Network by 2030. To the better of our information, no streaming providers are shut to integrating Lightning in 2021. Hence, an adoption degree of 0-1% is used till 2024, with a progress of up to 10% by 2028. From 2028 to 2030, we’ve assumed the adoption degree to go from 10% to 25%.”

Source: Arcane Research

With 700 million folks processing funds by way of the Lightning Network, Arcane Research tasks that the funds protocol will deal with about one trillion transactions per day.

“We now use the conservative estimate of 1 hour used per day on these providers and that, on common, 25% of this time is spent on providers with Lightning funds. With streaming of Lightning funds by way of these providers, we assume one microtransaction per second. Our estimate then equals a minimum of 364 trillion Lightning transactions per yr.”

You can learn the full report here.

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