The Premier League returns with an thrilling set of matches this weekend and our tipster Jones Knows has acquired you lined for insights, predictions and betting angles.
Manchester City vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30
This must be a charming encounter, albeit a low scoring one, if my maths and equations are right.
Manchester City are roaring away in the direction of the Premier League title, successful their final 11 league matches and scoring 33 objectives within the course of. Odds of 4/6 with Sky Bet for a house win is prone to tempt many in. Not me although.
Chelsea have confirmed that their winter wobble was simply that, a wobble.
Since the fortieth minute of their 2-2 draw with Liverpool, Thomas Tuchel has acquired his crew functioning like a well-oiled machine once more. Tuchel had acquired the higher of Man City on the final three events earlier than the 1-0 defeat at Stamford Bridge earlier this season. In the 4 conferences between Pep Guardiola’s City and Tuchel’s Chelsea solely six objectives have been scored. Low-scoring matches are a standard denominator relating to Tuchel and essential soccer matches.
In 19 such fixtures (Champions League knockouts, cup semi-finals and finals and top-four clashes within the Premier League) the common whole match objectives stands at simply 1.6 objectives with solely two of these 19 going over the two.5 objectives line.
And regardless of City’s wonderful general goalscoring file, my mind is fast to remind me that of their final two Premier League matches, their attacking course of has seemed fairly rusty. Against Brentford (1.04) and Arsenal (1.15) they posted their third and fourth lowest non-penalty anticipated objectives figures of the season and have been very lucky to steal three factors off the Gunners. That nagging doubt about their likelihood creation capability in opposition to a decent defence like Chelsea’s solely provides gas to a goal-shy encounter.
Therefore, I used to be stunned to see the underneath 2.5 objectives buying and selling at Evens with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Under 2.5 goals (Evens with Sky Bet)
Burnley vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Leicester’s assault is purring, and I need to soar aboard them for this journey to Turf Moor at 7/5 with Sky Bet.
The Foxes have scored 27 objectives of their final 11 video games throughout all competitions – and that run has included fixtures in opposition to Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea. Meanwhile, they’ve scored two or extra objectives in 50 per cent of their Premier League video games this season, and in the event that they meet that required objective common on this fixture then it is laborious to see Burnley getting something from the match. They have not managed to attain two objectives in a recreation in any of their final six fixtures and have the hangover of shedding Chris Wood to Newcastle to cope with – together with Maxwell Cornet being on the Africa Cup of Nations.
Few gamers are in higher kind proper now than James Maddison, and his possibilities of scoring are value including into the away win wager. Playing in his favoured function off the entrance, he has scored in 4 of his final 5 appearances.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Newcastle vs Watford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Just have a look at Watford’s subsequent three fixtures: Newcastle (a), Burnley (a) and Norwich (h), all inside a seven-day interval, beginning with this journey to St James’ Park the place, surprisingly, the temper stays excessive within the stands regardless of only one win in 19 Premier League video games this season and a cup exit by the hands of Cambridge. The house followers may also be buoyed by the sign of intent from the house owners so as to add high quality to the ranks. In a recreation the place the margins can be tight and anxiousness ranges excessive, a vocal and supportive house crowd like St James’ Park is an enormous benefit when forming an opinion on the sport.
Without any confidence on my half, I’ll facet with Newcastle on that foundation however all three match outcomes are simply argued in a really tight affair to name.
Claudio Ranieri’s crew at the moment sit exterior the relegation zone on 13 factors however that may very well be a unique story on the finish of this gigantic week. They have misplaced their final seven matches throughout all competitions and stay with no clear sheet this season. Since November 20, these two groups have averaged between them a whopping 2.33 objectives conceded per 90 minutes, so if you happen to fancy one of many match outcome outcomes, sticking the each groups to attain into your wager seems a wise play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Newcastle to win and both teams to score (11/4 with Sky Bet)
Norwich vs Everton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Another Norwich recreation, one other win to nil on their opponents copped the return vs West Ham. I had mistimed my soar off that exact prepare as I put my religion in Dean Smith’s facet to not less than rating at West Ham – one thing their anticipated objectives knowledge pointed too – but when something, Norwich turned of their worst attacking efficiency underneath Smith. That is a large fear as Teemu Pukki and Milot Rashica have been each match to begin. The excuses are working out. It’s now over 551 minutes for the reason that Canaries scored within the Premier League.
However, if the season began on October 2, they would not be backside. Everton would.
Rafa Benitez’s crew have gained solely one in all their final 12 Premier League video games, taking six factors from 36. This is a scenario the place I do not need to again both crew to win, so the draw must be the play at 12/5 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Wolves vs Southampton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
I do know which crew I’d somewhat pay to look at, however that is not what you are asking of me right here, is it? Wolves have the hardest chin within the Premier League but it surely’s laborious to get enthusiastic about analysing or watching their video games. Just 5 objectives have been scored of their final eight Premier League fixtures. Southampton scored 4 in a single recreation in midweek however aren’t identified for their reliable ending when assessing the long-term numbers. I’ll edge in the direction of a slender house win.
I need to again the guests to be sensible sufficient to get into some harmful positions up in opposition to the Wolves low block although. I used to be tempted by their pictures costs with 12 or extra obtainable at 5/4 however I’ve gone again to an previous good friend that has served me effectively this season. The Southampton corners wager.
Southampton have gained the fifth most corners within the Premier League this season (114), racking up a tally that reads 2, 6. 8, 7, 7 from their final 5 fixtures away from house because the attack-minded nature of their full-backs means loads of alternatives for corners being gained down the channels.
Sky Bet’s line for them to win 5 or extra at Evens actually has a robust likelihood of touchdown.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
BETTING ANGLE: Southampton to win five or more corners (Evens with Sky Bet)
Aston Villa vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30, stay on Sky Sports
I needed to verify the costs thrice to verify there wasn’t an error. Yes, Manchester United actually are favourites to win this soccer match.
Purely their outcomes underneath Ralf Rangnick would make their tag as 6/5 jollies with Sky Bet look respectable. But for these making an attempt to get forward of the markets the place potential, efficiency ranges and key metrics are far more dependable to gauge a crew’s general form-line. And it would not take an analytical genius to conclude that Manchester United are struggling in nearly each division of their recreation underneath the brand new boss. All you want is a pair of eyes.
Quite how Aston Villa have been dumped out of the FA Cup at Old Trafford was a little bit of a thriller. But revenge seems set to be on the playing cards at Villa Park. The draw no wager angle at 5/4 on Steven Gerrard’s facet charges a assured wager.
Of course, sooner or later such is the expertise of the people throughout the United squad, their efficiency ranges are going to rocket and make a prediction of this nature look very silly. But on what we have seen from this wildly inconsistent and irritating set of gamers in opposition to the likes of Norwich, Newcastle and Burnley over the previous few weeks, they merely must be taken on.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Aston Villa draw no bet (5/4 with Sky Bet)