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Saints vs. Bills odds, line: 2021 Thanksgiving Day NFL picks, predictions from top model on 130-91 roll

A battle between second-place groups will shut out the 2021 Thanksgiving Day NFL schedule when the Buffalo Bills (6-4) and New Orleans Saints (5-5) face off. Both squads are at present in second place of their respective divisions after Week 11. This matchup will characteristic two top-10 defenses within the league, as Buffalo is ranked first in whole protection, whereas New Orleans is tenth.

Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is about for 8:20 p.m. ET. Buffalo is favored by 6.5 factors within the newest Saints vs. Bills odds from Caesars Sportsbook, whereas the Over-Under is 45. Before locking in your Bills vs. Saints picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL recreation 10,000 instances, is up nearly $7,300 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years in the past. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an unbelievable 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season.

The model additionally ranked within the top 10 on NFLPickWatch 4 of the previous 5 years on straight-up NFL picks and beat greater than 94 p.c of CBS Sports Football Pick’em gamers 4 instances throughout that span. Anyone who has adopted it’s method up.

Now, the model has simulated Bills vs. Saints 10,000 instances and simply revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are a number of NFL odds and betting developments for Bills vs. Saints:

  • Bills vs. Saints unfold: Buffalo -6.5
  • Bills vs. Saints over-under: 45 factors
  • Bills vs. Saints cash line: Buffalo -270, New Orleans +220
  • BUF: Bills are 4-0-1 towards the unfold of their final 5 video games following an ATS loss
  • NO: Under is 8-0-1 in Saints’ final 9 Thursday video games

Why the Bills can cowl

Stefon Diggs has been sensational since coming over to Buffalo. He is the main pass-catcher for the Bills and among the best within the league. He is ninth in receptions (60), ninth in receiving yards (773), and tied for tenth in receiving touchdowns (six). The 2020 First-Team All-Pro is a silky easy route-runner with palms like glue.

The Maryland product can also be a deep risk for Allen and firm, reeling in eight passes of 20-plus yards. Diggs additionally has 41 first down receptions, that are a team-high. He is averaging 77.3 receiving yards per recreation. The 2015 fifth-round decide has gone over 100 receiving yards twice to date. In their Week 10 matchup towards the New York Jets, Diggs completed with a season-high 162 yards on eight receptions with a rating.

Why the Saints can cowl

New Orleans is ranked tenth in whole protection with 342 whole yards per recreation. This unit is led by linebacker Demario Davis, who has a team-high 65 whole tackles, together with 44 solo. The 2012 third-round decide is first on the staff with 10 tackles for loss. Davis has logged a minimum of eight tackles in 4 video games, together with two video games with double-digit stops.

Marshon Lattimore is the No. 1 nook on this squad and is tied for fifth within the NFL with 10 move deflections. The Ohio State product has secured 33 whole tackles with one interception. Six-time Pro Bowler Cameron Jordan is a robust defender coming off the sting. Jordan is second on the staff with 5 tackles for loss whereas logging three sacks.

How to make Bills vs. Saints picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning below on the whole, projecting the groups to mix for 45 factors. The model additionally says one facet of the unfold has all the worth. You can only see the model’s Bills vs. Saints picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Bills vs. Saints on Thanksgiving evening? And which facet of the unfold has all the worth? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on NFL picks, and discover out.

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